This system(strategy) offered by us is based on two clear principles of statistics:
the probability that a match would likely end with more than 1.5 goals scored (over 1.5);
the first goal of the match is commonly scored in its first 30 minutes.
In last season, all matches in important European leagues (Eredivizie – the Netherlands, Premier League – England, Bundesliga – Germany, La Liga – Spain, Serie A – Italy) ended with more than 1.5 goals scored.On an average basis, the first goal was scored in 24th minute.
We developed a strategy to help us take advantage of these facts mentioned above. Therefore, we are interested in the category of under / over 1.5. Generally, the matches which take place in the leagues already mentioned start with odds between @3.6-6 for back / lay under 1.5 goals.
This system is supposed to trade Lay under 1.5 in the market over/under 1.5 goals to odd (@) 3, in the first half, when the bet will be marked between 16 – 24 nd minutes. If one goal is scored until the bet is marked, the match presents no longer interest to us.
We have 3 solutions:
1. There are scored 2 goals in the first half, so the bet is won.
2. At half-time, the score is 1-0 or 0-1.
3. At half-time, the score is 0-0.
In this case, we will exit the market, bet under 1.5 for the existing odd at that moment on the same amount of money we initially paid for. This strategy gives us the opportunity not to lose money if in the second half there are scored at least 2 goals. If there are not scored 2 goals, we will lose about 60% of the money we initially bet with.
Conclusion: we need 2 goals scored between 20 – 73 minutes to win the bet; if the goals are scored after 75 minutes of play, we don’t lose and we don’t win either. As a matter of fact, it is proved that over 78% of football matches end with at least 2 goals scored.
Risk: this system doesn’t imply high risks, because the money which is bound to get lost is approximately equal to the money we could win. Correctly applied, this strategy involves 1.3 risk units for 1 profit unit. We reckon this is a very good risk/profit ratio, if we take into consideration the large number of matches that end with more than two goals.
Selection of matches that you will trade on this system will find in heading Football Tips.